Market
Update 7-14
by Edgar J. Steele
September 20, 2007
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My name is Edgar J. Steele.
No. I think we've seen pretty close
to what it will end at for today (78.41 right now, though still sinking). I'm
betting on some light artillery as it closes 1-1/2 hours from now and, possibly,
some pounding in the extended market later tonight, then the big guns come out
tomorrow and pound it back up for people to think about over the weekend.
They've given up 79, pretty clearly, and with less of a fight than I thought
they would muster, but they simply have to make a major showing and keep it
above 78 for a while. How long? Two weeks, maybe a month, but I don't think they
can hold things off much longer than that. Then things become REALLY
interesting.
But, hey, what do I know?
Even so, my call to exit SLV a few days ago and jump into mining stocks was
right on the money, similar to when I called for dumping gold and buying silver
almost two years ago. I just wish I had jumped into HL and SLW, rather than SSRI
and PAAS. If the pounding comes tomorrow as I think it will, then I might move
laterally from SSRI into SLW, because it should drop about twice as fast as SSRI,
then go up at the same rate when it turns around. Too many things about SSRI
that list members have said to me are bothersome.
CDE's management acts too much like GG's since the Glamis takeover to suit my
taste (yes, Glamis actually took over GG, not the other way 'round).
The lead article at silverseek.com right now seems to be a direct reply to my
call to bail on SLV, even though I don't think my list message got much further
than my immediate list. I don't know the author, but I know the site's owner is
at Silver Summit in Cd'A today and tomorrow and has to be distracted. I gotta
wonder if it is disinformation. I'm not down just on SLV, though it is at the
top of my nervous list - I'm down on all ETFs and dumped what little GLD I had
just this morning. No more ETFs, methinks, except perhaps the Canadian CEF -
physical makes a lot more sense and gets just as much of the profit.
Notice my presumption that the dollar and silver are moving inversely from here
on out. The recent COT short reduction indicates a major up move in silver.
Heaven knows the dollar is headed for the basement.
The wild card is the international markets, of course. The Saudis are
contemplating decoupling, as I am sure so many others are thinking of doing. A
sudden rush for the exits could put the dollar on a freight elevator for the
level marked WWIII. Change "could put" to "will," because it simply is a
question of when - probably sooner than later.

Copyright ©2007, Edgar J. Steele
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